Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 48.914363 55.001724 61.348037 68.440639 76.128435 84.192292 93.272490
2024-10-13 39.525896 48.416971 58.260438 69.887918 83.166742 97.779127 114.993045
2024-10-20 33.846769 44.066730 55.866852 70.337805 87.440037 106.844403 130.354516
2024-10-27 28.467549 39.236711 52.161201 68.553135 88.516746 111.770956 140.621148
2024-11-03 26.306985 37.970388 52.407124 71.204692 94.631819 122.466642 157.613200
2024-11-10 24.007232 36.226044 51.801705 72.586831 99.046107 131.053973 172.112903
2024-11-17 21.500960 33.929360 50.242809 72.541908 101.513915 137.165581 183.582536
2024-11-24 20.357317 33.348796 50.818967 75.170508 107.331667 147.447994 200.290460
2024-12-01 18.402199 31.434214 49.434749 75.066098 109.519940 153.121505 211.266889
2024-12-08 16.412609 29.278317 47.543815 74.117593 110.470975 157.135637 220.118782
2024-12-15 14.945582 27.763044 46.427237 74.116957 112.598834 162.624299 230.863103
2024-12-22 13.639424 26.372781 45.380517 74.116799 114.658188 167.994523 241.476679
2024-12-29 13.163783 26.294806 46.291240 76.978157 120.785953 178.958760 259.723582
2025-01-05 12.224924 25.381432 45.892566 77.921550 124.270973 186.476795 273.598903
2025-01-12 11.296759 24.393129 45.297972 78.509675 127.216150 193.265748 286.556729
2025-01-19 9.902589 22.456237 43.086528 76.556360 126.434714 194.912925 292.606636
2025-01-26 9.645608 22.526470 44.063715 79.437216 132.645689 206.217106 311.780508
2025-02-02 9.131788 22.074634 44.154760 80.936341 136.853916 214.797441 327.360669
2025-02-09 8.371177 21.082572 43.286622 80.887675 138.755279 220.165106 338.604278
2025-02-16 8.182736 21.182552 44.250082 83.737948 144.996765 231.695060 358.430060
2025-02-23 7.507650 20.248038 43.385923 83.624773 146.775848 236.927118 369.613249
2025-03-02 6.748342 19.059097 42.000998 82.596483 147.114365 240.078944 377.913196
2025-03-09 6.207086 18.270879 41.272582 82.595793 148.990900 245.430982 389.319635